DOGE1hmedium riskBest: WaitPremium

Trend Flip · EMA Cross · DOGE (1h)

Published July 19, 2026

Trend Flip — An EMA crossover trend system · Short on DOGE (1h). Discovered by Anny's quant engine and validated out of sample with CFO regime analysis. Performance is re-backtested daily against live market data, so the figures shown here always reflect the current market.

Deploy with AnnyShort strategy — requires a futures account. Anny will guide you through setup.

Performance Metrics

Total Return
+89.14%
Sharpe Ratio
1.54
Win Rate
40.70%
Max Drawdown
22.59%
Trade Count
113
Profit Factor
1.36
Avg Return/Trade
0.67%
Avg Hold (bars)
41

Out-of-Sample Validation

Tested on unseen data to verify the strategy is not curve-fitted. Low degradation confirms robustness.

OOS Return
14.43%
OOS Win Rate
43.80%
OOS Sharpe
1.81
Degradation
OOS improved

Statistical Confidence

How likely the edge is real — out-of-sample statistical confidence, consistency across time, and a comparison to simply holding the asset.

OOS Confidence
94%
Profitable Folds
4/4
vs Buy & Hold
-70.94%
Strategies Tested
752

Return range (90% confidence): -9.31% ··· 88.51% ··· 329.38%

Backtest includes trading fees and slippage, assumes full-capital sequential compounding, and does not model futures funding costs on shorts.

Equity Curve

Equity curve-6%+19%+44%+70%+95%last 90d
Lifetime +89.1%·Last 90d +59.0%

Strategy Rules

Entry TriggerEMA (1 setting) ••••
Stop Losspercent ••••
Take Profitpercent ••••

CFO Regime Breakdown

Anny's CFO Line divides market conditions into three regimes. Accumulate means the trend is bullish — ideal for long entries. Distribute means bearish — better to avoid or short. Wait means the trend is unclear. This breakdown shows how the strategy performed in each regime, helping you understand when it works best.

Wait 47%

This strategy performs best during Wait — consider using the regime filter to only enter trades when the CFO Line signals Wait.

RegimeReturnTradesWin Rate
Wait81.87%9942.4%
Accumulate-0.1%633.3%
Distribute-6.32%825%
_best_combo81.87%9942.4%

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Past performance does not guarantee future results. All strategies involve risk of loss.