DOGE4hmedium riskBest: accumulate+wait

Peak Fader · RSI · DOGE (4h)

Published August 6, 2026

Peak Fader — An RSI mean-reversion system · Short on DOGE (4h). Discovered by Anny's quant engine and validated out of sample with CFO regime analysis. Performance is re-backtested daily against live market data, so the figures shown here always reflect the current market. Best performance in accumulate+wait regime.

Deploy with AnnyShort strategy — requires a futures account. Anny will guide you through setup.

Performance Metrics

Total Return
+25.19%
Sharpe Ratio
0.60
Win Rate
42.40%
Max Drawdown
21.66%
Trade Count
33
Profit Factor
1.46
Avg Return/Trade
0.83%
Avg Hold (bars)
19

Out-of-Sample Validation

Tested on unseen data to verify the strategy is not curve-fitted. Low degradation confirms robustness.

OOS Return
23.47%
OOS Win Rate
66.70%
OOS Sharpe
2.15
Degradation
OOS improved

Statistical Confidence

How likely the edge is real — out-of-sample statistical confidence, consistency across time, and a comparison to simply holding the asset.

OOS Confidence
89%
Profitable Folds
3/4
vs Buy & Hold
-43.83%
Strategies Tested
890

Return range (90% confidence): -21.23% ··· 30.35% ··· 120.33%

Backtest includes trading fees and slippage, assumes full-capital sequential compounding, and does not model futures funding costs on shorts.

Equity Curve

Equity curve-5%+3%+10%+18%+26%last 90d
Lifetime +25.2%·Last 90d +19.6%

Strategy Rules

Entry TriggerRSI (1 setting) ••••
Confirmation 1REGIME ••••
Stop Lossatr ••••
Take Profitrisk_reward ••••
Trailing Stopconfigured ••••

CFO Regime Breakdown

Anny's CFO Line divides market conditions into three regimes. Accumulate means the trend is bullish — ideal for long entries. Distribute means bearish — better to avoid or short. Wait means the trend is unclear. This breakdown shows how the strategy performed in each regime, helping you understand when it works best.

Wait 48%

This strategy performs best during accumulate+wait — consider using the regime filter to only enter trades when the CFO Line signals accumulate+wait.

RegimeReturnTradesWin Rate
Wait20.63%3240.6%
Accumulate6.84%1100%
Distribute0%00%
_best_combo27.47%3342.4%

Trade History (33 trades)

EntryExitReturnRegime
8/8/20268/11/2026-0.5%Wait
7/14/20267/21/2026+1.05%Wait
7/3/20267/10/2026+3.19%Wait
6/15/20266/24/2026+14.27%Wait
4/14/20264/16/2026-2.74%Wait
4/7/20264/13/2026+0.22%Wait
3/16/20263/23/2026+6.84%Accumulate
3/13/20263/16/2026-0.87%Wait
3/10/20263/10/2026-5.42%Wait
3/4/20263/9/2026+6.33%Wait

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Past performance does not guarantee future results. All strategies involve risk of loss.