BTC4hmedium riskPremium

Exhaustion Snap · Stoch RSI · BTC (4h)

Published July 4, 2026

Exhaustion Snap — A Stochastic-RSI reversal system · Short on BTC (4h). Discovered by Anny's quant engine and validated out of sample with CFO regime analysis. Performance is re-backtested daily against live market data, so the figures shown here always reflect the current market.

Deploy with AnnyShort strategy — requires a futures account. Anny will guide you through setup.

Performance Metrics

Total Return
+70.15%
Sharpe Ratio
-
Win Rate
44.80%
Max Drawdown
18.38%
Trade Count
29
Profit Factor
1.79
Avg Return/Trade
2.15%
Avg Hold (bars)
66

Out-of-Sample Validation

Tested on unseen data to verify the strategy is not curve-fitted. Low degradation confirms robustness.

OOS Return
11.30%
OOS Win Rate
33.30%
OOS Sharpe
1.35
Degradation
6.25%

Backtest includes trading fees and slippage, assumes full-capital sequential compounding, and does not model futures funding costs on shorts.

With Leverage (Futures) — Projection

This is a short strategy — it trades on futures only, so there is no spot version of these trades. The projection applies leverage to the simulated short PnL; funding costs are not modeled. Losses are amplified exactly as much as gains — compare the drawdown, not just the return.

2× leverage

Projected Return
+144.39%
Projected Max Drawdown
-34.85%
Win Rate
44.8%
Liquidation Distance
49.5%

Projection from spot trades — excludes funding fees and assumes the stop-loss fills at its level. The stop sits well inside the liquidation distance at these levels, but leveraged futures can lose your full margin. Not financial advice.

Equity Curve

Equity curve-5%+18%+42%+65%+88%last 90d
Lifetime +70.2%·Last 90d +25.1%

Strategy Rules

Entry TriggerSTOCHRSI (2 settings) ••••
Stop Losspercent ••••
Take Profitpercent ••••

CFO Regime Breakdown

Anny's CFO Line divides market conditions into three regimes. Accumulate means the trend is bullish — ideal for long entries. Distribute means bearish — better to avoid or short. Wait means the trend is unclear. This breakdown shows how the strategy performed in each regime, helping you understand when it works best.

Accumulate 14%
Wait 12%
Distribute 24%
RegimeReturnTradesWin Rate
Wait12.87%742.9%
Accumulate23.76%850%
Distribute25.74%1442.9%
_best_combo62.37%2944.8%

Ready to deploy?

Anny will guide you through exchange selection, investment amount, and risk settings.

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Past performance does not guarantee future results. All strategies involve risk of loss.