ETH1dlow riskBest: Accumulate
ETH MACD + RSI Confluence (1d)
Published April 26, 2026
MACD crossover confirmed by RSI > 50. Dual-signal confluence filters noise and achieves 73% win rate in backtesting.
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Performance Metrics
Total Return
+67.30%
Sharpe Ratio
1.82
Win Rate
73.10%
Max Drawdown
14.20%
Trade Count
38
Profit Factor
3.40
Avg Return/Trade
1.77%
Avg Hold (bars)
8
Out-of-Sample Validation
Tested on unseen data to verify the strategy isn't curve-fitted. Low degradation confirms robustness.
OOS Return
41.50%
OOS Win Rate
68.00%
OOS Sharpe
1.51
Degradation
17.10%
Equity Curve
Strategy Rules
Entry TriggerMACD histogram crosses_above 0
Confirmation 1RSI value > 50
Stop Losspercent 5%
Take Profitpercent 12%
CFO Regime Breakdown
| Regime | Return | Trades | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wait | 10.3% | 12 | 66.7% |
| Accumulate | 52.1% | 18 | 78% |
| Distribute | 4.9% | 8 | 62.5% |
Trade History (38 trades)
| Entry | Exit | Return | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/14/2023 | 11/22/2023 | +6.21% | Wait |
| 11/17/2023 | 11/25/2023 | +3.57% | Wait |
| 11/20/2023 | 11/28/2023 | +4.58% | Accumulate |
| 11/23/2023 | 12/1/2023 | +2.06% | Distribute |
| 11/26/2023 | 12/4/2023 | +3.06% | Wait |
| 11/29/2023 | 12/7/2023 | +4.53% | Accumulate |
| 12/2/2023 | 12/10/2023 | +3.63% | Distribute |
| 12/5/2023 | 12/13/2023 | +7.96% | Accumulate |
| 12/8/2023 | 12/16/2023 | +8.21% | Distribute |
| 12/11/2023 | 12/19/2023 | +4.25% | Wait |
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Deploy with AnnyPast performance does not guarantee future results. All strategies involve risk of loss.
