BTC1dmedium riskBest: Accumulate

Steady BTC EMA Crossover (1d)

Published April 26, 2026

A classic 12/26 EMA crossover strategy on BTC daily. Filters entries with ADX > 25 for trend confirmation. Historically strongest in accumulation regimes.

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Performance Metrics

Total Return
+42.50%
Sharpe Ratio
1.45
Win Rate
58.30%
Max Drawdown
18.70%
Trade Count
47
Profit Factor
2.10
Avg Return/Trade
0.90%
Avg Hold (bars)
12

Out-of-Sample Validation

Tested on unseen data to verify the strategy isn't curve-fitted. Low degradation confirms robustness.

OOS Return
28.10%
OOS Win Rate
55.00%
OOS Sharpe
1.12
Degradation
22.80%

Equity Curve

Equity curve+0%+13%+26%+39%+52%

Strategy Rules

Entry TriggerEMA value crosses_above EMA(26)
Confirmation 1ADX value > 25
Stop Losspercent 4%
Take Profitpercent 8%

CFO Regime Breakdown

RegimeReturnTradesWin Rate
Wait5.1%1546.7%
Accumulate35.2%2065%
Distribute2.2%1250%

Trade History (47 trades)

EntryExitReturnRegime
11/14/202311/26/2023+4.04%Accumulate
11/16/202311/28/2023+5.16%Accumulate
11/18/202311/30/2023+5.35%Accumulate
11/20/202312/2/2023+1.61%Distribute
11/22/202312/4/2023+2.49%Wait
11/24/202312/6/2023+5.29%Distribute
11/26/202312/8/2023+0.44%Wait
11/28/202312/10/2023+3.65%Distribute
11/30/202312/12/2023-0.18%Wait
12/2/202312/14/2023+1.26%Wait

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Past performance does not guarantee future results. All strategies involve risk of loss.