Alt fade-pump short · BTC DUAL-1d basket
Published November 5, 2026 · Last re-tested November 5, 2026
Short a 4-slot basket of Binance USD-M perps (ETH, ZEC and ADA excluded) when a coin’s previous 4h RSI(14) is above 75 and this 4h bar closes lower, but only while BTC’s daily DUAL regime reads Distribute. Candidates are ranked by 7-day relative strength vs BTC (weakest first). One position per coin. Stop is 4×ATR(14) clipped to 1–25%, take-profit 0.75R, time stop 42 four-hour bars (168h). Each slot uses an equal 25% slice of book equity (the product’s closest setting to the study’s 2% equity-risk cap at 25% notional). Product entries and exits are on 4h bars (the study used the next 1h open and a 1h path).
Performance Metrics
What these numbers mean
Return earned per unit of risk taken — not just return.
The deepest loss you would have had to sit through.
How it did on the last fifth of history, which the search was never allowed to see.
At least 30 closed trades, so nothing earns its place on a lucky handful.
Backtest includes trading fees and slippage, assumes full-capital sequential compounding, and does not model futures funding costs on shorts.
Equity Curve
Strategy Rules
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